India strolled through the initial group stage but lost out to South Africa in the Super 8. England were beaten by West Indies in the group stage but topped their Super 8 group that included New Zealand, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. It's difficult to predict the winner from this semi-final matchup. India perhaps have the edge, and playing in front of a passionate home support at the Wankhede Stadium can only help.
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In her spring statement the chancellor argued for fiscal discipline. That’s understandable. The OBR says borrowing will fall and that the “headroom” against her self-imposed rules has increased. Her message was that Britain needed “stability”. The logic is that discipline reassures markets, and that keeps borrowing affordable. But markets constrain the UK only insofar as its institutions let them. If energy prices spike, the economy suffers a drop in real income. The question is: who soaks up that loss? Households, firms or the state, via higher deficits? Privileging fiscal credibility might signal that she prefers households to absorb the shock rather than the state.
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